\u201cEkonomik bas\u0131n\u00e7 Tahran \u00fczerinde geri \u00e7evrilemez bir maliyet biriktiriyor ancak rejimin hayatta kalma hesab\u0131 saf ekonomik mant\u0131\u011fa indirgenemez\u201d diyen To\u011fa, mevcut haliyle ablukan\u0131n \u0130ran\u2019a geri ad\u0131m att\u0131rmayaca\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde: \u201cTahran\u2019\u0131n masaya inmesi i\u00e7in ablukan\u0131n i\u00e7 istikrars\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 tetiklemesi ve DMO\u2019nun maliyet-fayda denkleminde negatife ge\u00e7mesi gerekir. Trump\u2019\u0131n \u2018pes et\u2019 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131 bu y\u00fczden psikolojik operasyon mahiyetinde.\u201d<\/p>\n
AYAKLANMA OLASI DE\u011e\u0130L<\/p>\n
Ancak \u0130ran uzman\u0131, Tahran\u2019\u0131n petrol fazlas\u0131n\u0131 mevcut y\u00f6ntemlerle elden \u00e7\u0131karmas\u0131n\u0131n m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 belirterek bir noktada \u00fcretimin durdurulmas\u0131 gerekece\u011fi ve bunun da \u0130ran i\u00e7in gelir kayb\u0131 yarataca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6yledi. To\u011fa\u2019ya g\u00f6re ABD\u2019nin bekledi\u011fi halk ayaklanmas\u0131 ise k\u0131sa vadede olas\u0131 de\u011fil. \u201dAyda 22 g\u00fcne varan internet kesintileri mobilizasyonu zay\u0131flat\u0131yor, ocaktaki sert m\u00fcdahale cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131k yarat\u0131yor ve abluka protestolar\u0131 \u2018d\u0131\u015f destekli\u2019 \u00e7er\u00e7eveye oturtmay\u0131 kolayla\u015ft\u0131r\u0131yor\u201d diyerek bu \u00fc\u00e7 unsurun ocak protestolar\u0131ndan farkl\u0131 bir denklem kurdu\u011funu s\u00f6yleyen To\u011fa, \u201cK\u0131sa vadede par\u00e7al\u0131 ve s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 protestolar, orta-uzun vadede ise daha ciddi sars\u0131nt\u0131lar olas\u0131\u201d dedi. To\u011fa ayr\u0131ca Tahran y\u00f6netimi aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in, \u201cEkonomik daralma bu…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
ABD\u2019nin kar\u015f\u0131 abluka hamlesinin \u0130ran taraf\u0131nda nas\u0131l bir etki yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131, \u0130ran Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar\u0131 Merkezi\u2019nden akademisyen Oral To\u011fa H\u00fcrriyet\u2019e de\u011ferlendirdi….<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":31170,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[6,5],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31171","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-gundem","category-son-dakika"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31171","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=31171"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31171\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/31170"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=31171"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=31171"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/eskigazeteci.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=31171"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}